Impact of climate change on rice farming: a threat to food security?

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S. Bintariningtyas, D.S. Pratomo, W. Syahfitri, F.W. Pangestuty

2025 IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science Vol. 1490 Issue 1 Conference paper Cited by 2 Quartile

Abstract

Climate change is a global phenomenon that significantly affects agricultural productivity. especially rice crops. This study aims to examine the effect of climate change on rice productivity in East Nusa Tenggara Province. The independent variables used include agricultural land area, air temperature, precipitation and air pressure, while the dependent variable is rice agrarian productivity. This study uses a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis on panel data using Stata14 software. The research results show that climate change indicators and overall land area have an effect on rice productivity. Specifically, land area, precipitation, and air pressure have a significant effect, while air temperature does not significantly affect rice productivity. Climate change, in the long term, can affect the process of rice plant productivity and will disrupt food security. Further spatial analysis shows variations in influence between districts/cities in East Nusa Tenggara, highlighting the importance of adaptation policies tailored to local conditions in order to improve food security. © 2025 Institute of Physics Publishing. All rights reserved.

Affiliations

Doctoral Program of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Brawijaya, East Java, Malang, Indonesia; Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta, Indonesia